Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.181055 0.203066 0.226049 0.251779 0.279726 0.309104 0.342265
2025-02-09 0.151818 0.181741 0.214517 0.252890 0.296386 0.343961 0.399728
2025-02-16 0.131533 0.166721 0.206892 0.255732 0.313076 0.377836 0.456049
2025-02-23 0.119413 0.159177 0.206238 0.265325 0.336771 0.419606 0.522092
2025-03-02 0.103908 0.145617 0.196760 0.262993 0.345344 0.443188 0.566960
2025-03-09 0.092184 0.135381 0.190109 0.263011 0.355938 0.468757 0.614255
2025-03-16 0.081766 0.125667 0.183062 0.261577 0.364006 0.490850 0.657331
2025-03-23 0.075474 0.120795 0.181714 0.266999 0.380492 0.523420 0.713793
2025-03-30 0.068199 0.113790 0.176826 0.267141 0.389716 0.546644 0.758675
2025-04-06 0.061708 0.107254 0.171980 0.266800 0.397910 0.568375 0.801778
2025-04-13 0.056043 0.101384 0.167557 0.266578 0.405930 0.589750 0.844568
2025-04-20 0.051621 0.096991 0.164877 0.268479 0.416649 0.614683 0.892278
2025-04-27 0.048969 0.095372 0.166451 0.276924 0.437281 0.654185 0.961314
2025-05-04 0.044831 0.090934 0.163436 0.278422 0.448068 0.680543 1.013330
2025-05-11 0.041500 0.087523 0.161724 0.281656 0.461291 0.710420 1.070621
2025-05-18 0.040021 0.087167 0.164751 0.292093 0.485154 0.755477 1.149429
2025-05-25 0.036058 0.081980 0.159620 0.289637 0.489872 0.773707 1.191551
2025-06-01 0.032965 0.078064 0.156268 0.289689 0.498146 0.796962 1.240907
2025-06-08 0.029896 0.073859 0.152110 0.288162 0.503838 0.816481 1.285217
2025-06-15 0.028319 0.072412 0.152558 0.294016 0.520841 0.852543 1.353392
2025-06-22 0.025989 0.069192 0.149664 0.294175 0.528946 0.875700 1.403491
2025-06-29 0.023792 0.066002 0.146584 0.293811 0.536103 0.897478 1.451847
2025-07-06 0.021807 0.063039 0.143696 0.293574 0.543342 0.919398 1.500643